Ipswich v Nott'm Forest prediction: Nott'm Forest win 1–2

Us against the market

Our model

32%

27%

41%

No bookmaker odds for this game yet.

Ipswich winDrawNott'm Forest win

Most likely scores

1–1

13%

1–2

9%

2–1

8%

0–1

7%

0–2

6%

How we got to 41%

We start from an average home side against an average visitor, then add or take away for each factor. Hover a bar for the detail.

Pushes towards our call Pushes against it Starting point

Average home side v average visitor

28%

Ipswich's defence

+18

Nott'm Forest's defence

−4

Nott'm Forest team news

−1

Ipswich's attack

+1

Nott'm Forest's attack

−0

Ipswich team news

+0

Our call: Nott'm Forest win

41%

0%30%60%

The reasons

1 · Chances created and allowed

Nott'm Forest are leaking chances away from home

Expected goals (xG) measures the quality of chances. Over their last 5 home games Ipswich created 1.0 and allowed 1.2 a game. Over their last 5 away games Nott'm Forest created 2.7 and allowed 2.2.

xG per game, last 5 at this venue

Ipswich created (home)

1.0

Ipswich allowed (home)

1.2

Nott'm Forest created (away)

2.7

Nott'm Forest allowed (away)

2.2

2 · Team news

Only minor absences

Ipswich: Lukić (doubtful, 75% to play). Nott'm Forest: Igor Jesus (injured).

Player	Status	Impact
Ipswich Lukić	Doubtful, 75% to play	Small
Nott'm Forest Igor Jesus	Injured	Small

3 · Form

Ipswich arrive in better form

Last five league games: Ipswich took 6 points, Nott'm Forest took 4.

Ipswich

LWLWL

Nott'm Forest

DWLLL

Last 5 league games, most recent on the right

4 · Results vs performance

Nott'm Forest's results undersell them by 9 points

Nott'm Forest have 7 points from their last 10 league games, but their chances were worth 16. We rate teams on their chances, so Nott'm Forest get more credit than their results.

5 · Head to head

Not much history to go on

1 of the last 2 meetings was drawn or won by one goal. Past meetings count for little in the model.

Mar 2025Ipswich 2-4 Nott'm Forest
Nov 2024Nott'm Forest 1-0 Ipswich

Nothing to split Ipswich and Nott'm Forest