We call Tottenham win, 2–1, with a 43% chance. Here is everything that went into it.
Tottenham
Crystal PalaceNo bookmaker odds for this game yet.
Expected goals (xG) measures the quality of chances. Over their last 5 home games Tottenham created 1.2 and allowed 1.1 a game. Over their last 5 away games Crystal Palace created 1.6 and allowed 1.8.
Tottenham: Sávio (injured), Bentancur (suspended). Crystal Palace: Strand Larsen (doubtful, 75% to play), Timber (doubtful, 75% to play).
| Player | Status | Impact |
|---|---|---|
| Tottenham Sávio | Injured | Medium |
| Tottenham Bentancur | Suspended | Small |
| Crystal Palace Strand Larsen | Doubtful, 75% to play | Small |
| Crystal Palace Timber | Doubtful, 75% to play | Small |
Last five league games: Tottenham took 8 points, Crystal Palace took 4.
Tottenham have 12 points from their last 10 league games, but their chances were worth 15. We rate teams on their chances, so Tottenham get more credit than their results.
2 of the last 4 meetings were drawn or won by one goal. Past meetings count for little in the model.
If Crystal Palace's defence were only average, this would swing to an away win (38%).
Tottenham 2–1 Crystal Palace, home win, too close to call