Data-driven Premier League predictions, with the reasons. New every Thursday.
EvertonNext: Everton v Chelsea, Sat 12:30. We call Everton win, 2–1 (39%).
On the quality of their chances, Everton deserved 9.8 points so far, against the 10 they have. Results are a fair reflection of the performances. That ranks 5th in the table they deserved.
| Game | Score | xG |
|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct at Hull | D 2–2 | 2.8–1.5 |
| 19 Sep v Ipswich | W 1–0 | 2.6–1.1 |
| 12 Sep at Tottenham | D 0–0 | 1.6–0.7 |
| 06 Sep v Man United | D 2–2 | 1.1–0.9 |
| 29 Aug at Bournemouth | D 1–1 | 1.7–2.3 |
| 22 Aug v Crystal Palace | W 2–0 | 1.5–2.2 |
| GW7 | GW8 | GW9 | GW10 | GW11 | GW12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea (H)win 39% | Arsenal (A)win 13% | Newcastle (A)win 30% | Coventry (H)win 50% | Brentford (A)win 24% | Liverpool (H)win 35% |