Inkwell & Algorithm

Data-driven Premier League predictions, with the reasons. New every Thursday.

2026/27 · 18th on 3 points from 6 games

Bournemouth

Next: Bournemouth v Sunderland, Sun 14:00. We call Bournemouth win, 2–1 (52%).

On the quality of their chances, Bournemouth deserved 9.2 points so far, against the 3 they have. They've been unlucky: the performances deserve more. That ranks 7th in the table they deserved.

Chances made and given away
Expected goals (xG) in every league game this season, oldest on the left: created above the line, allowed below.
CreatedAllowed
GameScorexG
10 Oct at ChelseaL 1–51.7–1.4
20 Sep v LiverpoolL 0–10.9–1.3
12 Sep v BrentfordD 2–22.5–0.8
05 Sep at NewcastleD 2–21.6–0.8
29 Aug v EvertonD 1–12.3–1.7
23 Aug at Man CityL 1–20.7–2.5

The fixtures ahead

GW7GW8GW9GW10GW11GW12
Sunderland (H)win 52%Man United (A)win 27%Leeds (H)win 43%Ipswich (A)win 49%Nott'm Forest (H)win 48%Fulham (A)win 38%