Data-driven Premier League predictions, with the reasons. New every Thursday.
LiverpoolNext: Brentford v Liverpool, Sat 15:00. We call Brentford win, 2–1 (42%).
On the quality of their chances, Liverpool deserved 8.6 points so far, against the 9 they have. Results are a fair reflection of the performances. That ranks 9th in the table they deserved.
| Game | Score | xG |
|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct v Man City | L 0–3 | 0.8–1.6 |
| 20 Sep at Bournemouth | W 1–0 | 1.3–0.9 |
| 12 Sep v Fulham | D 0–0 | 1.8–0.9 |
| 04 Sep at Ipswich | W 2–0 | 0.7–0.6 |
| 29 Aug v Nott'm Forest | D 2–2 | 1.3–2.9 |
| 23 Aug at Newcastle | D 2–2 | 3.1–1.6 |
| GW7 | GW8 | GW9 | GW10 | GW11 | GW12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brentford (A)win 32% | Brighton (H)win 41% | Arsenal (H)win 27% | Crystal Palace (A)win 41% | Man United (H)win 44% | Everton (A)win 36% |