Data-driven Premier League predictions, with the reasons. New every Thursday.
Nott'm ForestNext: Nott'm Forest v Arsenal, Sun 16:30. We call Arsenal win, 0–1 (50%).
On the quality of their chances, Nott'm Forest deserved 10.9 points so far, against the 5 they have. They've been unlucky: the performances deserve more. That ranks 4th in the table they deserved.
| Game | Score | xG |
|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct at Crystal Palace | L 1–3 | 3.8–2.2 |
| 19 Sep v Coventry | L 0–1 | 1.3–0.7 |
| 12 Sep at Aston Villa | W 2–1 | 2.8–1.1 |
| 05 Sep v Tottenham | D 0–0 | 0.8–1.5 |
| 29 Aug at Liverpool | D 2–2 | 2.9–1.3 |
| 22 Aug v Leeds | L 0–1 | 0.7–0.5 |
| GW7 | GW8 | GW9 | GW10 | GW11 | GW12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal (H)win 21% | Ipswich (A)win 44% | Brentford (A)win 24% | Man City (H)win 24% | Bournemouth (A)win 26% | Chelsea (H)win 39% |