Inkwell & Algorithm

Data-driven Premier League predictions, with the reasons. New every Thursday.

2026/27 · 7th on 9 points from 6 games

Leeds

Next: Leeds v Man United, Sun 14:00. We call Leeds win, 2–1 (39%).

On the quality of their chances, Leeds deserved 7.9 points so far, against the 9 they have. Results are a fair reflection of the performances. That ranks 11th in the table they deserved.

Chances made and given away
Expected goals (xG) in every league game this season, oldest on the left: created above the line, allowed below.
CreatedAllowed
GameScorexG
10 Oct at ArsenalL 1–21.2–2.3
20 Sep v Crystal PalaceD 0–01.1–1.1
14 Sep v NewcastleW 4–12.3–0.8
05 Sep at BrightonD 1–12.2–2.2
30 Aug v BrentfordD 1–11.1–1.6
22 Aug at Nott'm ForestW 1–00.5–0.7

The fixtures ahead

GW7GW8GW9GW10GW11GW12
Man United (H)win 39%Sunderland (A)win 37%Bournemouth (A)win 29%Tottenham (H)win 51%Chelsea (A)win 29%Coventry (H)win 54%