Data-driven Premier League predictions, with the reasons. New every Thursday.
BrightonNext: Brighton v Crystal Palace, Sun 14:00. We call Brighton win, 2–1 (60%).
On the quality of their chances, Brighton deserved 11.0 points so far, against the 13 they have. Results are a fair reflection of the performances. That ranks 3rd in the table they deserved.
| Game | Score | xG |
|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct at Sunderland | W 2–0 | 1.6–0.9 |
| 19 Sep v Arsenal | W 3–0 | 2.1–1.2 |
| 13 Sep at Coventry | W 5–0 | 2.8–1.0 |
| 05 Sep v Leeds | D 1–1 | 2.2–2.2 |
| 30 Aug at Chelsea | L 3–4 | 1.8–3.8 |
| 23 Aug v Aston Villa | W 4–0 | 4.0–0.3 |
| GW7 | GW8 | GW9 | GW10 | GW11 | GW12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace (H)win 60% | Liverpool (A)win 33% | Man City (A)win 21% | Brentford (H)win 50% | Hull (A)win 40% | Newcastle (H)win 57% |