Data-driven Premier League predictions, with the reasons. New every Thursday.
BrentfordNext: Brentford v Liverpool, Sat 15:00. We call Brentford win, 2–1 (42%).
On the quality of their chances, Brentford deserved 9.3 points so far, against the 10 they have. Results are a fair reflection of the performances. That ranks 6th in the table they deserved.
| Game | Score | xG |
|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct at Aston Villa | D 2–2 | 1.3–1.8 |
| 18 Sep v Chelsea | W 3–0 | 2.5–0.9 |
| 12 Sep at Bournemouth | D 2–2 | 0.8–2.5 |
| 05 Sep v Sunderland | D 1–1 | 1.6–2.2 |
| 30 Aug at Leeds | D 1–1 | 1.6–1.1 |
| 22 Aug v Tottenham | W 3–0 | 4.0–0.8 |
| GW7 | GW8 | GW9 | GW10 | GW11 | GW12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool (H)win 42% | Hull (A)win 36% | Nott'm Forest (H)win 50% | Brighton (A)win 25% | Everton (H)win 49% | Man United (A)win 28% |