Inkwell & Algorithm

Data-driven Premier League predictions, with the reasons. New every Thursday.

2026/27 · 6th on 10 points from 6 games

Chelsea

Next: Everton v Chelsea, Sat 12:30. We call Everton win, 2–1 (39%).

On the quality of their chances, Chelsea deserved 7.3 points so far, against the 10 they have. Results are a fair reflection of the performances. That ranks 13th in the table they deserved.

Chances made and given away
Expected goals (xG) in every league game this season, oldest on the left: created above the line, allowed below.
CreatedAllowed
GameScorexG
10 Oct v BournemouthW 5–11.4–1.7
18 Sep at BrentfordL 0–30.9–2.5
12 Sep v HullD 2–21.2–1.8
06 Sep at ArsenalL 1–20.4–2.8
30 Aug v BrightonW 4–33.8–1.8
24 Aug at FulhamW 3–22.6–1.4

The fixtures ahead

GW7GW8GW9GW10GW11GW12
Everton (A)win 34%Tottenham (H)win 56%Man United (H)win 42%Sunderland (A)win 40%Leeds (H)win 45%Nott'm Forest (A)win 35%