Inkwell & Algorithm

Data-driven Premier League predictions, with the reasons. New every Thursday.

2026/27 · 11th on 8 points from 6 games

Newcastle

Next: Newcastle v Aston Villa, Sat 17:30. We call Newcastle win, 2–1 (43%).

On the quality of their chances, Newcastle deserved 6.4 points so far, against the 8 they have. Results are a fair reflection of the performances. That ranks 17th in the table they deserved.

Chances made and given away
Expected goals (xG) in every league game this season, oldest on the left: created above the line, allowed below.
CreatedAllowed
GameScorexG
12 Oct at CoventryL 1–42.2–1.7
19 Sep v HullW 2–11.4–1.2
14 Sep at LeedsL 1–40.8–2.3
05 Sep v BournemouthD 2–20.8–1.6
29 Aug at TottenhamW 2–01.0–1.1
23 Aug v LiverpoolD 2–21.6–3.1

The fixtures ahead

GW7GW8GW9GW10GW11GW12
Aston Villa (H)win 43%Crystal Palace (A)win 33%Everton (H)win 43%Fulham (A)win 33%Arsenal (H)win 21%Brighton (A)win 20%