Inkwell & Algorithm

Data-driven Premier League predictions, with the reasons. New every Thursday.

2026/27 · 17th on 4 points from 6 games

Sunderland

Next: Bournemouth v Sunderland, Sun 14:00. We call Bournemouth win, 2–1 (52%).

On the quality of their chances, Sunderland deserved 8.5 points so far, against the 4 they have. They've been unlucky: the performances deserve more. That ranks 10th in the table they deserved.

Chances made and given away
Expected goals (xG) in every league game this season, oldest on the left: created above the line, allowed below.
CreatedAllowed
GameScorexG
10 Oct v BrightonL 0–20.9–1.6
20 Sep at Man CityL 3–53.1–2.7
12 Sep v ArsenalL 0–22.1–2.0
05 Sep at BrentfordD 1–12.2–1.6
30 Aug v FulhamW 1–01.6–1.0
22 Aug at IpswichL 1–21.2–1.6

The fixtures ahead

GW7GW8GW9GW10GW11GW12
Bournemouth (A)win 22%Leeds (H)win 33%Coventry (A)win 32%Chelsea (H)win 34%Aston Villa (A)win 25%Tottenham (H)win 43%