Premier League 2026/27 predicted table

10,000 simulations · 320 games left

How the season ends

We played out every remaining fixture 10,000 times, each one drawn from the same chances behind our weekly calls. Counting where every club finished gives its chance of the title, the top four and relegation.

Every club

Arrows: change in points since a week ago

#	Club	Pts now	Expected final pts	Likely finish	Title	Top 4	Relegation
1	Man City	18	80	1–3	56% ▲8	99% ▲2	0% –
2	Arsenal	15	77	1–3	39% ▼6	98% ▲1	0% –
3	Brighton	13	66	2–7	4% –	72% ▲17	<1% –
4	Liverpool	9	58	3–11	<1% ▼1	28% ▼13	<1% –
5	Chelsea	10	58	3–12	<1% –	26% ▲11	<1% –
6	Brentford	10	57	3–12	<1% ▼1	25% ▼1	<1% –
7	Man United	6	55	4–13	<1% –	16% ▼7	1% ▲1
8	Leeds	9	54	4–14	<1% –	14% ▼1	1% ▲1
9	Everton	10	51	5–16	<1% –	6% ▲1	4% ▲1
10	Bournemouth	3	50	6–16	0% –	5% ▼3	6% ▲3
11	Newcastle	8	49	6–17	<1% –	4% ▼3	7% ▲5
12	Hull	9	49	6–17	<1% –	3% ▼3	6% ▲4
13	Aston Villa	5	47	7–18	0% –	2% –	10% ▲2
14	Nott'm Forest	5	46	8–18	0% –	1% –	13% ▲4
15	Crystal Palace	7	45	8–19	0% –	1% –	18% ▼2
16	Sunderland	4	42	10–19	0% –	<1% ▼1	32% ▲15
17	Coventry	6	40	12–20	0% –	<1% –	42% ▼39
18	Fulham	2	39	12–20	0% –	<1% –	45% ▲17
19	Tottenham	3	38	12–20	0% –	<1% –	49% ▼5
20	Ipswich	9	37	14–20	0% –	<1% –	63% ▼6

Likely finish is the range of places a club ends up in 8 runs out of 10. Red arrows are bad news: a falling title or top-four chance, or a rising relegation chance. Ties on points are settled by goal difference, then goals scored.

How it works, and what it can't see

Each remaining game is simulated from both teams' attack and defence ratings, the same ones behind our weekly calls, using results up to 2026-10-17. Every run gives a full final table. The ratings are held fixed for the whole season, so the projection can't foresee injuries, new managers or January signings. Real uncertainty is wider than these numbers suggest, especially months out. It's a picture of where each club stands today, not a promise.